After a bad day 2 where Holland forgot how to hit the target and the ref in the Germany match, strangely for him, kept his cards in his pocket, we move on to day 3.
In the 7:45 kick-off we have Ireland unbeaten in 14 games and very strong defensively, 11 clean sheets in that run, up against Croatia. The Croats are missing there star striker, Olic, however they do have other options going forward with Modric and Jelavic.
The Croatians are also 8th in the World but finished behind Greece in their qualifying group. They drew 0-0 with the Irish in August and the Irish fans are out in force for this match.
The Irish will be setting up with 2 banks of 4 and will be solid, they keep Croatia in front of them and make it difficult for them to create space. With Robbie Keane up front they have a fantastic outlet, who only needs a half chance to score, as shown by his 53 International goals.
With all that considered do Croatia have a 44% chance of winning this match? My answer is No
Lay Croatia 2.26 - Betfair 2.5% of Bank
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