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Saturday 9 June 2012

Holland v Denmark

After a great start yesterday, with Russia winning, we move onto day 2.

I thought the price of 1.66 was about right for Holland to beat Denmark, however the traders are out trying to set themselves up for some in-play action - hence the drift on Holland to 1.79 on Betfair. I am more than happy to get involved at that price.

Denmark are a decent side, 9th in the World Rankings, but they've already been beaten by Brazil and Russia this year. The Dutch are superior to these two sides, therefore another defeat is on the cards. One thing Denmark do have is a good goal scoring record  in recent time, scoring in 13 of their last 15 games.

The Dutch are a great side going forward with Van der Vaart, Van Persie etc, they seem full of goals. The Danes aren't that strong at the back especially with Sorensen out so I expect Holland to score at least 2. I think that Denmark can score, the Dutch defence is pretty average with 8 clean sheets in the last 15 games, but 2 goals may be a step to far.

For those reason my bets on this market are...

Holland to Win 1.79 - Betfair 5% of Bank
Over 2.5 Goals 2.18 - Betfair 2.5% of Bank

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