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Saturday 29 September 2012

The Championship - 29th September 2012

Barnsley v Ipswich Town

Bristol City have really impressed me this season, they currently sit 13th in the league having scored 11 goals. To stay there home form will be key, they are currently unbeaten (2 wins and 1 draw), conceding 1 goal in the process. This weekend provides them the perfect opportunity to continue that form with the visit of Ipswich. The Tractor Boys have managed to score 5 goals this season, joint worst with Peterborough. They have also conceded 15, only Peterborough have worse record than that. They've lost their last 3 games and only have the 1 win to their names this season, which came with their only away goal - 90th minute winner at Watford.

In the long term I think that these two sides will be nearer in the league than they currently are, so I'm going to take some caution with this bet.

Lay Ipswich at anything under 3.25 - Betfair

Huddersfield v Watford

Huddersfield find themselves 2nd in the league after Monday nights impressive win at Blackpool. Watford don't really know what they want to be at the moment. They won 2 of their 1st 3 games but have now picked up 1 point in the last 4. Zola still doesn't know what his best side is and surely that can't be good for building momentum.

Huddersfield by contrast are unbeaten since their stoppage time loss at Cardiff on the opening night. They've won 4, drawn 2, scored 12 and conceded 5. I don't expect them to finish second in the league, long term I see them 12th - 16th. I don't see Watford doing much better than that, the owners have said it's a long term plan. So anything but a relegation scrap should be seen as progress, but until Zola has a settled XI, I can't be backing them.

Back Huddersfield at 2.10 (in-play)

Middlesbrough v Leicester

I took Leicester on last weekend and it cost me, however I'm happy to take them on again in this match. I cannot see why they are favorites. 'Boro have won all of their home games and Leicester haven't picked up a point away from home.

At the end of the season I can't see these two sides being that far away from each other. Leicester were over-backed last season because of the money they spent and the same seems to be happening this year.

Lay Leicester at 2.76 - Betfair

Bolton v Crystal Palace

Palaces record against Bolton is truly awful, no wins there since 1980 and haven't beaten them home or away since 1983. However I just have to take Bolton on at the odds. Bolton will finish above Palace this season as they have more depth in their squad, but the starting eleven for Crystal Palace is as good as anyone's in this league.

This has been proved in recent weeks and I see no reason why this run can't continue. Palace were my most profitable team last season. I backed them in the first half of the season and got rewarded with great prices on their cup run and league games. Then took them on in the last 10 games. They are a club that are constantly under-rated as they don't spend money. This means they are always one of the favorites for relegation, yet they haven't been outside of the top two divisions since 1977. This means that you usually get good prices on them.

Lay Bolton at 1.67 - Betfair


Anytime Goalscorer Treble

For a bit of fun this weekend I looked at players who are in for and scoring goals

Charlie Austin - 10 goals in 9 games (Burnley v Millwall)
Jordan Rhodes - 5 goals in 5 games (Charlton v Blackburn)
Glenn Murray - 5 goals in 5 games (Bolton v Crystal Palace)

Treble with Coral is over 18/1


#ToiletRollAcca

It doesn't pay the 6 figures this weekend, but it comes in at over 19,000/1 with Victor Chandler








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