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Wednesday 19 June 2013

Royal Ascot Day 3

After Dawn Approach rescued day one for me, day two proved to be a lot less stressful and brought some well earned profits. Al Kazeem showed his class to win and The Fugue showed her ability on a firm surface to grab some place money. She'll be one to keep an eye on as she'll defiantly come on for the run. What that race says about last years three year old form is simple - it's worthless.

Rizeena looks to be a very smart two year old and she won nicely for me at 7/1, she has bags of pace and looks like she'll stay further. If she trains on she will be a massive player in next years 1000 Guineas.

Thursday doesn't look to be an easy card especially with the prediction of rain. However I have found four bets that I like at various prices. One winner will give me a profit but whatever happens I'll still be up for the week as it's a smaller stakes day for me.

Norfolk Stakes - 14:30

The O'Brien's have won the first race on both days now and they should be able to keep that going with the classy Coach House. If the expected rain comes and gets into the ground we may see a repeat of his Tipperary ride where he made all on soft ground and won by six and a half lengths.

There doesn't seem to be too much else in the race that have shown much. Wesley Ward has brought second favourite No Nay Never over from the USA but any rain that gets into the ground will surely harm his chances based on his breeding and that he has only ever ran on polytrack which was described as fast.

Back Coach House at 3/1 - General


Gold Cup - 15:45

One of my betting rules is that any Dermot Weld horse that is sent over has to be seriously considered. My faith in this approach was rewarded on Champions Day last year when Sapphire won at 3/1. Also on that card was former Gold Cup winner, Rite of Passage who won at 8/1.

Right of Passage has been here and won this race before back in 2010 when he won it at 20/1. He acts on any ground and looks to have less question marks about him than many of his rivals.

Back Rite of Passage at 8.40 - Betfair


Britannia Stakes - 16:25

I backed Wentworth on his debut at Goodwood last year, that day he came 6th and cost me a considerable sum. However he atoned for that defeat by winning his next two starts. He made his seasonal reappearance at Goodwood last month, but over six furlongs. I was surprised to see him dropped back in trip and didn't back him that day.

I'm hoping that he does what he done last season though and will comes on for run, especially as he's been stepped backup to a mile. We don't know how he'll act on the ground if the predicted rain gets in but he's potentially well handicapped so if he comes on like he did last year he'll go close.

Back Wentworth at 5/1 - 888Sport


Tercentenary Stakes - 17:00 

This years 2000 Guineas form ties in nicely with this race, even though it's over an extra two furlongs. On Guineas day I backed Van Der Neer win and place, he stayed on for 3rd beating Toronado. Dawn Approach and Toronado went head to head on Tuesday in which they both showed their class. However over an extra two furlongs Van Der Neer would be right up with them and would probably of beaten them.

He'll love this step-up in trip and I believe that his Guineas run shows that he is a classy animal.

Back Van Der Neer at 14 (13/1) - Betfair

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