The Championship - 15th December 2012

I had a great blog prepared for last weekend but couldn't post it due to Indian internet connections not being great. Unfortunately for the bet though Crystal Palace conceded an 89th minute equaliser from a mistake. However at the prices I've been backing Palace at this season, they only need to win less than 50% of the time. They're still my most profitable side with 8 wins from the 11 matches I've got involved in.

Hopefully some of you got involved in the cricket as bets advised on Twitter for England to win, Cook runs and England runs.

The main bank for the season currently sits at +104.50% and I'm hoping that we can add to it this weekend, just in time for Christmas.

Millwall v Leicester City

Millwall's 13 match unbeaten run came to an end at Ipswich last weekend, however they still sit 3rd in the current 6 game form table. They face a Leicester side who will certainly be challenging for automatic promotion come April.

My reason for wanting to take Leicester on in this match is due to their away record compared to that of Millwall at home. Leicester have won 3 away this season;

1. Middlesbrough - 89th minute winner
2. Huddersfield - deserved win 
3. Sheffield Wed - deserved win

The two deserved victories have come against newly promoted sides, the form of the victory at Huddersfield looked good at the time but looking at it now Huddersfield have only won 4 of their last 14. You can't take much from the win at Sheffield Wednesday, they've lost 7 in a row and only won 2 of their last 18.

Millwall have been relatively strong at home; their 3 defeats came in the early part of the season when they were struggling for form. Their defeats came against  Blackpool, Cardiff and Brighton. Those sides would all feel they had a good chance of promotion this season and played Millwall whilst in good form.

From a long term point of view Leicester deserve to be favourites, but I wouldn't give them a 42% chance of winning this match. I would give them a maximum chance of 37% (2.78) and therefore they have to be laid at 2.4x.

Lay Leicester at 2.4x - Betfair


Leeds United v Ipswich Town

Ipswich matches have cost us a few pounds recently but I'm going to get involved again. I still remember when they came to Palace and got beaten 5-0, they've also gone to Leicester and Blackpool and came away with 6-0 defeats.

The odds have these sides priced as though they are of equal ability and if this was the Leeds of 1 month ago I would have agreed. Since they got the promise of new investment they seem to have been transformed. The signing of Jerome Thomas has really improved their side. He missed the defeat at Derby but not many sides will go to Pride Park this year and get a result.

I don't think that there is too much between these two sides but Leeds are higher in my ratings. I would give Leeds a 48% (2.08) chance and therefore have to back them today at the prices.

Back Leeds United at 2.20 - William Hill


Anytime Goalscorer Treble

Glenn Murray
I think Palace have a tough game at Birmingham today but if they do score it is very likely that it will be the man who has the best goals to games ration in the country at the moment.

Tom Ince
I was going to have Blackpool as a single, basically because I don't rate Blackburn anymore and see Berg as the wrong managerial choice. I expect Blackpool to score a couple today so it makes sense to go with their 13 goal top-scorer to get one.

Luciano Becchio
14 goals this season and coming up against the team with the worst goal difference and second worst goals against.

The Treble pays just over 11/1 with Betfred


#ToiletRollAcca

This would be the perfect weekend to get this in, especially as it pays over 230,000/1 with BetVictor