Barnsley v Wolves
Wolves are on a terrible run, they are winless in 9 and will drop into the relegation zone if they are beaten tonight. Barnsley have been on a fine run of form since a managerial change. They are unbeaten in 8 league and cup games, winning 7 of them. Barnsley are currently 4th in the six game form table with only Leicester, Cardiff and Watford above them.
I can see Wolves setting up not to lose this game and eventually getting worn down. If they fall behind I don't feel they will be able to get themselves back into this and would fancy Barnsley to score another. If the game pans out like that and Barnsley can score 2+, like they have done in their last four games then they should win this. Wolves have only managed to score more than 1 goal once in their last 10 games. Away from home they have also failed to score 5 times and average 1.06 goals per game on their travels.
We're far enough into the season now to see where teams are going to finish and Wolves look like they are going to be a bottom 6 side along with Barnsley. Therefore I would have Barnsley priced at the 2.25 mark for this match.
Back Barnsley at 2.38 - William Hill
Birmingham City v Sheffield Wednesday
Birmingham's form has picked up of late, they've only lost 1 of their last 6 in the league and that was on Saturday to Watford. They face a Sheffield Wednesday side who are also on a good run of form, with the 1 loss in the last 6. However on paper, league position and current form there isn't too much between these sides.
Birmingham's games are usually tight with only 5 having more than a one goal margin in them this season. I can see this being another close game but home advantage could be key. The prices are 'effectivly' making Sheffield Wednesday favourites and I cannot see why that is. Like the Barnsley v Wolves game I would have Birmingham priced at 2.25 for this.
Back Birmingham City at 2.62 - Coral
Cardiff City v Brighton
Cardiff have mastered grinding out results this season and they have a fantastic home record of 13-1-1. They face a Brighton side who struggle to score goals and have averaged 1.39 per game this season. They have failed to score 8 times and only scored once on 10 occasions.
It's a very rare that it's been possible to back Cardiff at odds against when they are at home this season but I give them at least a 50% chance of winning this so I'm taking the even money. I think it will be tight but with Cardiff having a player like Fraser Campbell to call on I can see them taking the points here.
Back Cardiff City at 2.04 - Betfair
Derby County v Bolton Wanderers
Like I mentioned on Saturday Derby are a side that I like when they play at Pride Park. Unfortunately they couldn't get the winner against Wolves but I'm going to give them another chance. I have seen nothing from Bolton this season to show me that they are capable of challenging for the top 6, whereas Derby have impressed me. If it wasn't for their away form they would be in the top six already.
They are currently 17th in the form table with Bolton 18th, both these sides have picked up 6 pints from their last 6 games so even though Derby aren't in the best form Bolton are still behind them. Everything is pointing to Derby being marginally better than Bolton.
Back Derby County at 2.38 - Coral
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Pays 31,366/1 with Bet 365
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