The Championship - 27th & 28th November 2012

I'm not going to go on about Saturday too much but, how unlucky was that? Brighton missed a 1st half penalty, took a 2nd half lead and were murdering Bolton, only for Ngog of all people to score in the 95th minute to make it 1-1.

That was the worst day of the season so far with only 1 out of 4 coming in, but the main bank has still increased by 124.42% since August. I'm happy with that and it's better than what the banks pay. Anyway it's another big evening of Championship football and hopefully some nice profits.

Ipswich Town v Nottingham Forest

I backed Ipswich on Saturday and they proved to be useless, the below match stats show they had 1 shot on target at HOME to Peterborough. Their goal came through a soft penalty decision.



Ipswich Town v Peterborough United Match Stats

 If you cannot raise your game in front of your home crowd after a 6-0 hammering the previous week, then questions need to be asked about the commitment of the players.

Ipswich were booed off at half time and against a Forest side who will be in the Top 8 at the end of the season I can see the boos starting earlier this time round.

Forest have only lost once away from home this season, compared to Ipswich's one home win. Forest have lost once in 10 games, at home to Millwall (unbeaten in 11).

With Forest scoring in every away game and sitting 3rd in the table for average away goals, 1.78 per game, it's difficult to see them not scoring against a side who have a goal difference of -25.

If we work from there we are effectivly giving Forest a 1-0 headstart, which against the lowest scorers in the entire football league (14) makes the odds for an away victory very attractive.

Back Nottingham Forest at 2.46 - Betfair


#ToiletRollAcca

If this comes in then I'll be buying a few drinks on Saturday. At 975,670/1 with BetVictor it will be a nice payday. I've had my usual 50p on and think it's got a decent chance. Seven draws on a wet and windy midweek list in November is not beyond the realms of realism, and draws do need to go up from the current 23%. Home wins for Derby and 'Boro seem plausible. Add into that away wins for Forest (as above),inform Millwall and Watford and you've got a proper #ToiletRollAcca.