Champions Day (Ascot) - 20th October 2012

I've been looking forward to this day for a while now and there is 1 horse who I'm very keen to back.

Excelebration (3:30) has only lost 1 race when Frankel hasn't been in the field, that was on his debut. So on all know form he is the 2nd best miler of his generation. He was priced up at 4/6 in the without Frankel market, when last at Ascot back in June and he came second, even though they didn't run the race to suit him. Therefore anything at 4/6 or above has to be seen as value.

Obviously the star of the show comes in the 4:05. Frankel has been faultless throughout his career so far and it's been a pleasure to see him numerous times in the flesh as well as dramatically increasing my wealth. Still can't believe the 11/8 Ante-post for the 2011 Sussex Stakes. I will be having a bet on Frankel at 2/5 if that price becomes available. I'm not concerned about the ground but I rate Cirrus Des Aigles very highly, the softer the ground the better this horse is. However he showed he can act on good ground by winning this race last year. The best bet in this race is probably a Straight Forecast on Frankel (3) to beat Cirrus Des Aigles (2)

In the 2:55 there is a horse running whose last 4 runs read 1111 and all of those were on Soft or worse. Dermot Weld doesn't send many over but when he does they have to be respected. So we get to Sapphire, I have question marks over this years 3 year olds and Great Heavens has ran in a stamina sapping Arc less than 2 weeks ago. It's remains to be seen if Dancing Rain will be as good as she was last year after a lay off in her 1st run of the season. At around the 3/1 mark I'm happy to get involved.

Opinion Poll (1:45) has never ran a bad race, hasn't been outside the top 4 since his debut in 2008. Was beaten in this race last year by Fame and Glory, who has now had two poor runs in a row and doesn't really seem interested anymore. On his last race he finished 1/2 a length down on Colour Vision in the Royal meeting. Since then Colour Vision has run 3 times and not registered a win, beaten at Goodwood by Saddlers Rock. There's form lines and conclusions that can be drawn all over this race. Every horse he is capable of beating the other so it make sense to stick with one you know will run it's race. At 3/1 i'm happy to get involved.

Opinion Poll
Sapphire
Excelbration
Frankel - Cirrus Des Aigles Straight Forecast
A 4-fold on the above happening should pay out around the 60/1 mark (Totesport & Betfred)

I will also be having a single on Excelebration